Fantasy Football’s Least Valuable Players of 2012

(yourdictionary.com)

(yourdictionary.com)

Heading into this year’s draft, many players were highly sought after and highly drafted.  Yet, owners who used top picks to get some players did not have it pan out as they had hoped.  With that being said, let us take a look at this year’s Least Valuable fantasy Players.

Once more, like the Most Valuable Players, the LVPs are based on expectation vs. output and what it cost to get the player.  Nevertheless, without anymore interruption let’s start with:

3. Eli Manning

Manning almost hit 5,000 yards a season ago, yet this year (through 16 weeks) with only one game left, he is projected to have his lowest passing yardage season since 2008 (4,021, he currently has 3,740) and his first sub-4,000 yard season since 2007.  His 21 passing TDs are 8 off of where he was last year, though his 15 INT are currently one fewer than he had a year ago.

Nevertheless, Manning was the most wanted QB outside out of the big-4 this year (Brady, Stafford, Rodgers and Brees), yet he has not lived up to any of that.  Eli is currently the 19th ranked QB in fantasy, behind guys like Roethlisberger who missed 3 and a half games.  His ranking has come from having 4 games of 5 or fewer points (including a 3-game stretch where he scored a combined 10 points).  He has also only had three 300+ yard passing games compared to 4 games in which he did not throw a TD pass.  He also does not rank in the top-10 in any of the major QB statistics (yardage, TDs, QB Rating).

2. Larry Fitzgerald

What a shame to have all the talent in the world and have nobody throwing to you.  I almost feel bad putting Fitzgerald on this list, but numbers never lie and facts are facts.

Fitzgerald was ranked the #2 WR, behind Megatron, in most preseason rankings.  Yet, with one week remaining, Fitzgerald is currently the #39 WR in fantasy, 1 point behind Percy Harvin (has not played since week 9),  2 points behind Jordy Nelson (missed 3 consecutive weeks), 52 points from being inside the top-1o WR, and 108 points away from #2 WR Brandon Marshall.

Only 5 times has Fitzgerald scored double-digit points, and caught 6 or more passes., while four times this season he only caught 1 pass.  His 69 receptions are his fewest since 2006 (missed three games that season) , his 785 receiving yards are his lowest since 2006 as well, his 4 TDs are his lowest since 2010 where he caught 6 (6 is lowest ever, also caught 6 in 2006).  Unless Fitzgerald can catch for over 215 yards, it will also he his first sub 1,000-yard season ]where he played all 16 games since his rookie season.

Mathews made is No.1 but for all the wrong reasons (gnightmoon2006.blogspot.com)

Mathews made it to No.1 but for all the wrong reasons (gnightmoon2006.blogspot.com)

1. Ryan Mathews (a.k.a the man who had more broken clavicles than touchdowns)

Mathews, my #5 ranked player overall in the preseason and experts had him just as high, fell flat on his face this season.  Although it really may not be fair to him, as the Chargers offense as a whole was distraught to say the least this year.

Although Mathews missed the first two games of the season, and will miss the final two, he still had a big enough sample size to classify him as big of a bust as he was.

In the 12 games Mathews played, 0 times he rushed for 100 or more yards, 8 times he rushed for 67 or fewer yards, only 3 times he rushed the ball 20 or more times, he averaged 3.8 ypc, 1 time he scored double-digit points, and only 1 time he found the end zone (surpassed by his two broken clavicles).

With such a poor output, Mathews is currently ranked the #30 RB, behind the likes of Vick Ballard (has not even been the starter all season), Andre Brown (missed 7 games, soon to be 8), Willis McGahee (been on IR since week 11), DeMarco Murray (missed 6 games), and Joique Bell (only rushed the ball 10+ times twice all season long).

Fantasy Football Mock Draft 2.0

Mock Draft 2

About a month ago I came out with my first mock draft for the 2012-2013 fantasy football season.  Since little has happened in the NFL, it has had a direct effect on my mock draft; being that little has changed.  Yet, little is still something, and since something’s have changed let’s take a look at my second mock draft, but this time we will be looking at my top-12.

Nothing new for Foster as he finds himself atop the charts (inflexwetrust.com)

Arian Foster– I’m sticking to my guns, Foster remains my #1 overall player in fantasy, and should be selected first overall.  He is always among the top RB in fantasy since he entered the leagues, even with his injuries.  Injury-free as of now leaves him the clear-cut #1 pick.

Projection– 1,900 total yards and 18 total TDs

LeSean McCoy– Despite other mock drafts and preseason rankings, I like McCoy ahead of Rice in the draft.  The Eagles’ offense is more high-powered than the Ravens and defenses have to key-in on other guys rather than expend on their energy on McCoy, allowing him to put up great numbers.

Projection– 1,700 total yards and 16 total TDs

Ray Rice– Spectacular season a year ago, likely

(profootballtalk.com)

won’t duplicate same numbers (over 2,000 yards from scrimmage) however he still will be The Man in Baltimore therefore I expect some big numbers once more.

Projection– 1,850 total yards and 12 total TDs

Aaron Rodgers He has led the league in points the last two seasons and if I wasn’t somewhat old-school in my drafting with taking RBs first, I’d have no problem drafting him first overall.  He’s fantastic, spectacular, diverse, and is a great asset to any fantasy team.

Projection– 4,800 total yards and 48 total TDs

Maurice Jones-Drew– Finally his S.O.S was answered when the Jags drafted Blackmon and signed Robinson.  The addition of these two guys will take an enormous amount of pressure off of MJD, bug still expect him to play a huge role in their offense.

Projection– 1,600 total yards and 11 total TDs

Here is where it starts to change a little:

Mathews cracking into the top-12 (Zimbio.com)

Ryan Mathews– I’ll be honest I was a bit skeptical of him at first, and didn’t even consider putting him in my top-12.  Yet, his numbers are somewhat better than I have given him credit for.  Despite his constant injuries, last season Mathews managed over 1,500 total yards last season,  all while sharing the load with Tolbert.  With Jackson and Tolbert now gone, the Chargers are going to rely on Mathews a lot more to help sustain their impressive offense.

Projection– 1,700 total yards and 9 total TDs

Tom Brady- His numbers speak for themselves.  The new defensive additions will help tremendously, alongside with his new deep-threat Lloyd.  Expect another statistically beautiful season from Brady.

Projection– 5,000 passing yards and 38 TDs

Marshawn Lynch– I like him a lot.  He is ferocious, and he runs angry; two things I love in a RB.  Career highs last year and Flynn under center give me great hope in yet another break-out season for Lynch.

Projection– 1,400 total yards and 13 total TDs

Calvin JohnsonMadden curse, Shmadden curse, I don’t care. He’s the best WR plain and simple and should be the first off the board.

Projection– 1,600 receiving yards and 13 TDs

Larry Fitzgerald– Last season Fitzgerald managed over 1,400 receiving yards and 8 TDs all while having a number of sub-par QBs under center.

Surest hands in the game (freakfangear.com)

Also, this year the Cards drafted Floyd, someone who will take some defenders away from Fitz, allowing him to catch more balls, get more yards, and score more touchdowns.  Also don’t forget, he’s only 28 years old, although it seems in been in the leagues forever.  In addition, Fitz has only gone under 1,000 receiving twice ever, once his rookie season in 2004, and once in 2006 when he missed three games (still managed 946 yards and 6 TDs).

Projection– 1,450 yards receiving and 10 TDs

Andre Johnson–   Let’s face it, he is an animal.  He is one of the best receivers in the game, and his numbers back it up.  Finally healthy, he should return to his normal dominance.

Projection– 1,300 yards receiving 10 TDs

Chris Johnson– let’s chalk up last season to a fluke.   He held out, wasn’t in shape, wasn’t ready, and didn’t produce.  This season is different as he is not holding out and should be all geared up.  Plus Britt is coming back, taking some pressure off of him and it also isn’t a coincidence he rushed for over 2,000 two years ago.  CJ2K is back.

Projection– 1,600 total yards and 9 total TDs

Just Missed the top-12

Mathew Stafford– Previously my #8 player, now #13 and through no fault of his own.  I still love him and would personally take him in the first-round.  However, in the several mock drafts I have done, I was able to get him in the second round many times, and even the third in one.  Therefore you could still snatch him up a little later.

Projection– 4,900 passing yards and 42 TDs

Drew Brees– Same reason as stated in mock draft 1

Projection– 4,900 passing yards and 39 TDs

Cam Newton Same reason as stated in mock draft 1

Projection– 4,300 total yards and 28 total TDS

Rob Gronkowski- Same reason as stated in mock draft 1

Projection– 1,200 receiving yards and 13 TDs

Matt Forte– Same reason as stated in mock draft 1

Projection– 1,650 total yards and 7 total TDs

DeMarco Murray– I like him a lot, and the Cowboys do too as he will likely be the #1 RB on the depth chart.  He exploded for over 1,000 yards from scrimmage last season in only 13 games, and will likely trump those numbers this year.

Projection– 1,400 total yards and 7 total TDs